
Case Study — Sales Forecasting
ITeMGroup works with a major manufacturer to improve
Sales Forecasting.
Background
Our client is a large manufacturing business with operations in every
State. Recently, the company centralised its manufacturing structure,
bringing together manufacturing sites that previously operated under more
than a dozen separate managements and brand identities.
ITeMGroup was asked to introduce a business information system based on
a set of specific Key Performance Indices (KPI’s), agreed with the
company’s sales management personnel.
These included:
• Sales Revenue
• Debtor Management
• Forecasting
• Customer Relationship Management.
Now, for the first time in the company’s history, it was possible
for sales representatives and sales management to see up to date, national
information regarding their customers’ sales activities and forward
orders. After the first modules (cubes) were in place, allowing measurement
of sales revenue and debtor management, a platform for managing the sales
forecasting KPI needed to be developed.
The Challenge
Activity measurement at sales representative level was still a relatively
new concept for the sales team, who were also being asked to provide more
information on their daily activity and on their customers. As a result
there was reluctance to add another program to those current in use by
the sales teams.
How ITeMGroup met the challenge!
Through the implementation of the first modules, actual sales data was
already being delivered on-line each day, and forward orders also existed
within the sales cube. Therefore, some of the information related to customer
forecasts already existed from information provided by the sales team.
What was missing, however was information regarding expected sales orders,
which had not yet been booked with the company. Using a central quoting
application, each sales representative was provided information on forward
bookings by customer, by month. The data was restricted to those customers
served by the representative, who could then focus on business known but
not yet booked.
Customer history was also provided on-screen, as well as summary and budget
data to allow each sales representative to gauge their overall sales performance
as well as the customers’ sales with budget. Sales Reps were asked
to provide their estimates of sales revenue by customer for the coming
six months. The forecast report was required by the 20th of each month
and data was entered into the web based application.
A significant number of potential future sales was being captured through
the new reporting procedure.
Data entered by sales representatives was then up-loaded into the sales
cube where, for the first time, sales management could compare sales forecasts
with budget and history. Discussion of the data was encouraged between
management and the sales team to fine-tune the forecasts, resulting in
better forecasts being available for month-end reports.
How the Sales Forecasting Module delivers
business success.
Historically, sales forecasting recording was poorly practiced by the
business. Information was not generally available to all sales managers
and was therefore not transparent. As a result, the accuracy of forecasting
was low. Accuracy in sales forecasts has risen from approximately 50%
to 70%.
By increasing the accuracy of sales forecasting, the company is better
able to plan future manufacturing activity. With the introduction of a
disciplined sales forecasting procedure, the sales management team is
fully informed on forward sales activity as well as historic activity.
An added benefit has been a greater awareness by sales representatives
of their individual performance compared to budget.
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